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Good Morning, Reader!
This is the only August 19th of 2024 we get, so let's make it a great one.
Here's what we will cover today:
- SPX Prior Day Action (through $volm command)
- Pre-Market SPX Full Complex Structure & 0DTE
- Market Trend Model
- GEX Ratio
- Mag7 Stocks
- Proprietary Scans
Time is money. Let's get into today's premarket prep.
P.S. If you are new, please click on the link below for an overview of the our 3-step framework as well as definitions of key terms unique to GammaEdge.
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βοΈFun Fact For The Day
On this day in 1909, the first race at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway was held.
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βοΈSPX 0DTE Recap (Prior Day)
Below is our $volm command, which displays the "centroid" of put and call volume for each 15 minute slice during yesterday's session.
What is important to observe intraday with this chart is the trend of the call and put centroids.
Paired with our Market Trend Model (below) intraday, it's powerful to see how both the call and put centroids moved throughout the session along with the MTM and spot price.
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βοΈMarket Trend Model
GammaEdge's full commentary & analysis is provided in the discord
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βοΈSPX Full Complex (Today)
Below is the $SPXP output for the full PM settlement. The purpose of this view isn't a focus on trading -- it's to get an overall view of the SPX PM structure, which is the most liquid, most speculated on underlying in the market.
GammaEdge's full commentary & analysis is provided in the discord
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Market Sentiment
- Delta Condition: ITM Calls Dominant (Below Spot) | OTM Calls (Above Spot)
- Gamma Condition: Call Dominated
- Net GEX: +58k vs. +70k in prior day (slight reduction day over day
Transition Zones (TZ)
- GEX: 5460-5500
- DEX: 5500-5505
- Drunken Sailor: Generally is N/A on the full timeframe.
Other Key Levels
- Upside: +GEX at 5600 | COI at 5700
- Downside: -GEX at 5750 (5300 is the largest below spot price)
Excerpt from our commentary within the discord:
5500 is key level for the bulls to maintain today.
As with Friday, we are well extended from the top of transition. A mean reversion move would not come as a surprise.
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βοΈSPX 0DTE Levels (Today)
PSA: We don't care if you are a day trader, swing trader, or position trader. Every trade begins as a day trade. You cannot willy-nilly enter the SPX with the hope that the trade will work; you need to understand the broad structure and enter when the conditions are favorable for the direction of your thesis (or lack of direction if you think we're stalled).
If you do not understand the structure when you open a trade, you have no edge as to whether the trade will work in your favor or against you.
GammaEdge's full commentary & analysis is provided in the discord
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Market Sentiment
- Delta Condition: ITM Puts (Above Spot) | ITM Calls (Below Spot)
- Gamma Condition: Call Dominated
- Net GEX: +12k vs. +22k in the prior day
Transition Zones (TZ)
- GEX: 5550-5555
- DEX: 5540-5555
- Drunken Sailor: 5470-5555
Other Key Levels
- Upside: +GEX at 5555 | COI at 5630
- Downside: -GEX at 5550
Stay alert to intraday level changes using:
- Web App Dashboard
- $em command ($em spxp)
- $s command ($s spxp 0 0)
- $netstat ($netstat spxp)
Be cognizant of price in relation to transition zone. Are we above or below? Create your If/Then scenarios. As an example, if price moves through [x], then what? If price rejects [x], then what? You should have your game plan documented before the market opens! For there, you just need to execute.
Excerpt from our commentary within the discord:
Here is SPX structure for this week with the key transition range boxed in.
Remember to create your If/Then Statements. Then execute from there.
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βοΈGEX Ratio
Overview of GEX Ratio
The GEX Ratio is defined as cumulative call gamma divided by cumulative put gamma. This ratio provides a snapshot of market sentiment, with higher values indicating more bullish conditions and lower values suggesting more bearish conditions.
Gamma is most impactful when options are at-the-money (ATM) and closest to expiration. Therefore, this ratio offers an enhanced view compared to the traditional 'put/call ratio' by incorporating gamma, which gives more weight to near-term market positioning.
The visualizations presented below are time series of the GEX Ratio, providing a clear perspective on the sentiment trends over time.
SPX
SPY
QQQ
IWM
Market Structure Heatmap
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βοΈMag7 Single Stock Review
As we did with SPX above, walk through the 3-step framework for each of the stocks. Identify (i) key transition zones, (ii) key levels of reference, and (iii) gamma/dela conditions (sentiment). Feel free to email us with any questions as you perform your own self-analysis.
NOTE: Only the full complex time slice has been provided.
$AAPL
$TSLA
$MSFT
$NVDA
$AMZN
$GOOGL
$META
$AMD
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βοΈGammaEdge Scan Results
As part of our daily routine, we like to look at our call and put dominated scans. In particular, we like to take if the growing and shrinking day over day, which provides valuable insights into the shifting of call and put speculations amongst the largest stocks in the market.
CallDomDel: Returns stocks that are call dominated below and above spot price, which are signatures of bullish structures.
PutDomDel: Returns stocks that are put dominated below and above spot price, which are signatures of bearish structures.
Other Scans Offered
- Zero2Ptrans: Returns stocks that closed above ZeroGex but below PTrans.
- Ptrans2PGex: Returns stocks that closed above PTrans but below +GEX.
- We offer 17 custom scans in total
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πThanks for Reading!
If you have feedback for us on ways to make our newsletter more valuable for you each morning, please let us know! Reply to this email with your thoughts.
Best of luck out there today.
GE Teamπ€
P.S. If you find this newsletter valuable, we'd appreciate you sharing it with a friend or colleague.
DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.
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πEducation
There are currently 2 courses within the GammaEdge ecosystem:
The GammaEdge Framework
This is our flagship educational course designed to significantly speed up the learning curve for new members.
There are currently 2 modules available, each described below:
-
Bachelor's Module: 4 Core lessons (with 2 mini-lessons) that teaches you the foundational concepts/principles at GammaEdge utilizing Options Structure Analysis. Specifically, you'll learn:
- The importance and how to analyze Market Sentiment
- How to Identify Market Trend/Momentum
- Evaluating Market Structure for key trading levels
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Master's Module: 4 core lessons (with 3 mini-lessons) which cover all things stocks/ETFs related for multi-day to multi-week trading. Here's what you're set to learn:
- Developing a Robust Directional Thesis
- Finding High-Quality Trade Candidates
- Analyzing Candidates for Tradability/Actionability
- Creating a Winning Daily Routine
Here is a 2-minute video covering what you will learn about:
βThis course is available in its entirety to our 'Gold + Web App' subscriber.
For those of you not quite ready to make that jump, you can review Lesson 1 (of both the Bachelor's and Master's Module) for FREE using the link below:
PTrans2PGEX Email Course
GammaEdge's bread and butter strategy is called 'PTrans2PGEX' and is based off two of our core levels, which are (you guessed it!) PTrans and PGEX.
The beauty of this strategy is it's 100% mechanical and supported by rigorous backtesting. We also run this strategy live in the Discord with entries and exits posted, which members have access to.
To learn more about the strategy, including a FREE course, use the link below to access:
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Have questions? Hit reply to this email and we'll help out!
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Β© 2024 GammaEdge, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of GammaEdge, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of GammaEdge. GammaEdge is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.
This research was prepared exclusively for Reader as a subscriber of GammaEdge and may not be forwarded or otherwise provided to any unauthorized party. If you have received this transmission in error, please notify GammaEdge.
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